Melbourne, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Melbourne FL
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Melbourne FL
Issued by: National Weather Service Melbourne, FL |
Updated: 6:14 am EDT Jun 6, 2025 |
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Today
 Sunny then Chance T-storms
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Tonight
 Chance T-storms then Mostly Clear
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Saturday
 Sunny then Chance T-storms
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Saturday Night
 Chance Showers then Mostly Clear
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Sunday
 Sunny then Chance T-storms
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Sunday Night
 Chance Showers
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Monday
 Slight Chance T-storms then Chance T-storms
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Monday Night
 Chance T-storms
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Tuesday
 Chance T-storms then Showers Likely
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Hi 90 °F |
Lo 74 °F |
Hi 91 °F |
Lo 74 °F |
Hi 91 °F |
Lo 75 °F |
Hi 90 °F |
Lo 76 °F |
Hi 89 °F |
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Today
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Sunny, with a high near 90. South southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming east southeast in the afternoon. |
Tonight
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then a slight chance of showers between 11pm and midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming southwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Saturday
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Sunny, with a high near 91. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south in the afternoon. |
Saturday Night
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. Southwest wind around 5 mph. |
Sunday
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Sunny, with a high near 91. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south in the afternoon. |
Sunday Night
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then a chance of showers between 11pm and 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 75. South wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Monday
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A slight chance of thunderstorms, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 8am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 50%. |
Monday Night
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A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 76. South wind 5 to 10 mph. |
Tuesday
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Southeast wind 5 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Tuesday Night
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Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Wednesday
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A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. East southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. |
Wednesday Night
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A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. |
Thursday
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A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. East southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Melbourne FL.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
718
FXUS62 KMLB 060649
AFDMLB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
249 AM EDT Fri Jun 6 2025
...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, MARINE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 207 AM EDT Fri Jun 6 2025
- Hot and very humid conditions are expected from this weekend into
early next week.
- Hazy skies this weekend due to the Saharan Air Layer (SAL).
- A Moderate Risk for rip currents continues at area beaches.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 207 AM EDT Fri Jun 6 2025
Today-Tonight...Surface high pressure over the western Atlantic
will drift southward towards the Bahamas today, dragging the ridge
axis into south Florida. Meanwhile, the upper level high over
south Texas will expand its axis farther eastward through the
Gulf, towards the Florida peninsula. Ridging through the column
and the continued influence of the SAL give confidence that the
NBM PoPs are overzealous once again today. While slightly cooler
than yesterday, forecast 500mb temperatures around -6.5 to -7C and
modest lapse rates do not support the widespread 50-70% PoPs from
the NBM. Instead, have trended towards MOS and CONSAll guidance,
with PoPs generally 30-40% across the area. CAMs suggest the
highest coverage once again occurring along and north of the I-4
corridor, with the lowest chances across southern portions of the
forecast area. Similarly to Thursday, should a storm be able to
take advantage of drier air in the mid-levels, wind gusts up to 50
mph will be possible, along with the threat for lightning strikes
and locally heavy rainfall. Any showers or storms will peak in
activity from mid to late afternoon, then drift off of the coast
into the evening hours with dry conditions then prevailing
overnight.
With the ridge axis south of the forecast area, southwesterly flow
is forecast to prevail across east central Florida. This will lead
to a more dominant west coast sea breeze, helping to pin the east
coast breeze at or near the coast. Thus, little relief from hot
temperatures is expected this afternoon, with highs reaching the
lower 90s. Lingering moisture across the area will also lead to
humid conditions and heat indices from 100-105 degrees. Warm
temperatures will continue overnight, with lows in the lower to
mid-70s.
This Weekend...The pattern generally continues through the
weekend, with the ridge axis remaining south of the local area,
though the ridge over the western Atlantic will elongate/drift
eastward through the period. Slightly drier air (PWATs closer to
1.5" than 1.75") will be the main difference. Combined with
continued warm (~-7C) 500mb temperatures, have continued to
undercut the NBM through the weekend. PoPs 20-30% Saturday and
30-40% Sunday. Increasingly drier air could support a few stronger
wind gusts, should storms develop and be able to take advantage of
it. Temperatures will creep higher into Sunday, with highs
reaching the lower to mid-90s. Continued southwesterly flow will
limit the inland progression of the east coast sea breeze. Heat
indices remaining around 98-103 degrees.
Next Week...The ridge continues to move eastward into the Atlantic
next week, as the ridge axis drifts northward through the local
area. Meanwhile, a series of weak upper-level shortwaves are
forecast to pass through the Deep South. As the ridge axis moves
northward, higher moisture will return to east central Florida,
advected in by southerly flow. The east coast sea breeze will
drift increasingly inland, with a collision over the interior.
Higher shower and storm chances return, though likely not with
enough coverage to support the 90% produced by the NBM. Thus, have
gone with a more seasonable 50-60% each day next week. Temperatures
will remain hot through at least Tuesday, before a more dominant
east coast sea breeze develops into late week. Highs remaining in
the lower to mid-90s early in the week, then upper 80s to lower
90s for the rest of the period. Heat indices 100-105 remain
forecast.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 207 AM EDT Fri Jun 6 2025
Generally favorable boating conditions through mid-week next
week, as high pressure lingers near to the local area. The main
threat will be scattered offshore- moving showers and storms in
the late afternoon and evening hours each day. South to
southwesterly flow will back southeasterly along the coast each
afternoon and increase to 10-15 kts as the sea breeze develops,
but remains pinned through at least this weekend. Seas 1-3 ft.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 135 AM EDT Fri Jun 6 2025
Mainly VFR conds through the TAF period. Light W/SW flow 5-7 kts
develops after sunrise, shifting southeast at the coastal
terminals behind the sea breeze btwn 17Z-19Z. Will maintain VCTS
over northern terminals aft 18Z, incl MCO/SFB/DAB/MLB. Some of
these will prob be upgraded to TEMPOs. Less confidence for
SHRA/TSRA across southern terminals so no precip mention VRB-SUA
for now.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB 91 72 93 73 / 50 10 40 10
MCO 93 74 94 74 / 40 10 30 10
MLB 90 74 91 74 / 40 20 30 10
VRB 90 73 91 74 / 30 20 30 20
LEE 91 74 92 75 / 40 10 30 10
SFB 93 74 94 74 / 40 10 30 10
ORL 93 75 94 76 / 40 10 30 10
FPR 90 72 91 73 / 30 10 30 20
&&
.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Leahy
AVIATION...Kelly
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